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This Sunday, the nation of CAR will hold a crucial series of four votes, encompassing the presidential race, parliament, and local offices.

A Crowded Presidential Field

Seven candidates are vying for the top office, among them ex-premiers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. Both men were cleared to stand by the constitutional court after initial bans. Dologuélé finished second in the last two elections, while Dondra briefly served under the incumbent.

Opposition Hopes and Public Discontent

The challengers hopes to capitalize on widespread frustration in a nation where violence remains a constant threat. More than half a million people are displaced within their own country, with a comparable figure living as exiles in neighbouring countries.

"This represents an chance to commend the remarkable recovery of the country," said a UN regional official, adding that challenges remain.

Touadéra's Expected Victory

Despite the competition, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a one-time academic, is widely expected to extend his run. He transitioned into politics in 2008 when appointed prime minister, holding the post until a rebel coalition overthrew the government in 2013, triggering a sectarian conflict.

After a turbulent three-year interim, his perceived neutrality from the main militias fueled his runoff win in 2016.

Election Risks and Logistical Hurdles

There are fears that logistical problems and violence could mar the electoral process, particularly in rural areas. The UN stabilization force, Minusca, is offering security and logistical support that the state's crumbling infrastructure cannot manage.

Further issues include the voter list being made available only digitally, a major hurdle in a nation with limited internet access. These irregularities have led to an electoral boycott and could, as noted by analysts, "exclude many of the electorate."

Stakes of a Third Term

Many citizens fear that another term for Touadéra—enabled by a 2023 charter change that abolished term limits and extended mandates—would entail greater influence for foreign actors.

The president has relied on the Russian mercenary group Wagner for his protection, and despite its founder's death, has pushed back against calls to integrate its fighters into a new structure. Meanwhile, Rwanda has taken a separate strategy, focusing on commercial ventures within CAR.

Claims of National Disposal

Allegations have stated the government removed its own soldiers from a World Bank-funded facility to make way for a foreign-run agricultural project. A pro-opposition commentary charged the leadership of being "intent on dispose of the nation bit by bit."

Despite a newly signed agreement with rebel groups offering a glimmer of calm, the election moves forward under a cloud of doubt and geopolitical rivalry.